Thursday, April 11, 2013

The Long Pause in Global Warming




It's been 15 years since the mean global air temperature rose year over year yet governments around the world continue to throw money down the green energy rat hole, proclaiming all the while, "We must save the planet."  I'm all for saving the planet, but must we do so by subsidizing failure and artificially driving the cost of energy and food higher, to the detriment of the world's poor? As an advocate of increased efficiency and productivity in the built industry I'd like to see us turn our attention, and considerably resources, to solving real problems.  But when the EPA declares the very air I exhale to be a pollutant it's kind of hard to focus on other issues.  

My challenge to advocates of BIM, IPD and lean business processes is to stand up and demand accountability of those who contend we must spend trillions and trillions of dollars to address global warming.  First, let's make sure its happening.  After all, the current research shows no warming for the past 15 years.  Second, let's get a better handle on the scope and nature of the alleged catastrophic impact of global warming.  Is increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere really a bad thing?  It might be, but the current evidence show the planet is getting greener, nor browner, as a result of increased carbon dioxide.  Maybe that's because carbon dioxide is what plants, which tend to be green, breath.  In short, let's challenge the orthodoxy, insist on skeptical science rather than science by consensus - especially consensus by grant recipients - and let's make sure the trillions being spent to prevent global warming are adding value. 

It's hard being a heretic, but there's a reason skeptics like Galileo questioned orthodoxy in their day.  More importantly, it appears we are wasting trillions and trillions of dollars and a problem of dubious proportions.  My contention is that real value can be added to the built environment if those trillions are invested more wisely.

Below is the definition of global warming found in one of my kid's "Science" books.

global warming
An increase in the average temperature of the Earth's atmosphere, especially a sustained increase great enough to cause changes in the global climate. The Earth has experienced numerous episodes of global warming through its history, and currently appears to be undergoing such warming. The present warming is generally attributed to an increase in the greenhouse effect , brought about by increased levels of greenhouse gases, largely due to the effects of human industry and agriculture. Expected long-term effects of current global warming are rising sea levels, flooding, melting of polar ice caps and glaciers, fluctuations in temperature and precipitation, more frequent and stronger El Niños and La Niñas, drought, heat waves, and forest fires. See more at greenhouse effect.
The American Heritage® Science Dictionary Copyright © 2005 by Houghton Mifflin Company. Published by Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

 While the definition begins in a benign fashion - nobody argues global warming / climate change isn't real or doesn't occur - the contention that the "present warming", which stopped 15 years ago, was "brought about by increased levels of greenhouse gases, largely due to the effects of human industry and agriculture" finds little support in the models created by the very scientists who penned the definition above. 

Science by consensus is bunk.  Science, by definition, requires skepticism.  Too little skepticism has been directed at the "science of global warming."  Friends and colleagues, whom I love dearly and respect greatly, have accused me of being a "science denier" because I remain skeptical of the basic claims of global warming.  But evidence is mounting that shows they, and not I, are the deniers.

The irony of their positions deepens more every day.  For years now, my friends and colleagues who contend global warming is real, and an existential threat to mankind, have labeled those who rightly question the "scientific consensus" as "science deniers" and "flat earthers".  When responding via social media, their vitriol boils even closer to the surface.  Ironically, those same individuals ignore the fact that there has been no warming in the last 15 years.  When winter wraps its cold hands around the elderly - as it has in the UK this winter - proponents of global warming blame.... well, global warming.  Faced with the reality that warming has stalled, proponents adopted the Orwellian tactic of renaming the phenomenon, "climate change".  How convenient.  After all, the climate on the earth never changes, right?  Additional irony rears its head in the research context.  Proponents of global warming routinely pillory skeptics as pawns of big oil and industry, while they themselves collect billions and billions in research grants.  They also conveniently ignore the spectacle of big oil, big business and big government snuggling together in the global warming solutions tent where tax payer dollars are doled out to big  oil and big business by big government to fund big green solutions to global warming.  The irony is so thick you can almost cut it with a knife.

Below is an excerpt from the article that triggered today's rant.

There is significant evidence that would tend to falsify global warming. The mean global air temperature has not risen for the last fifteen years. At the end of March the global extent of sea ice was above the long-term average and higher than it was in March of 1980. Last December, snow cover in the northern hemisphere was at the highest level since record keeping began in 1966. The UK just experienced the coldest March of the last fifty years. There has been no increase in droughts or wildfires. Worldwide hurricane and cyclone activity is near a forty-year low.


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James L. Salmon, Esq.
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2 comments:

Erik Michell said...

James, climate change is two iterations behind. Last year was climate disruption and this year it is called climate chaos. A find the " chaos" much more newsworthy.

a*fit said...

CO2 atmospheric levels continue to spike now at 397.34. The safe level for all life on Earth is 350.

No amount of persuaion will convince deniers of Climate Change, Climate Disruption, or Climate Chaos that increased levels of GHG are detrimental to life.

So we will not try.... Be assured that our bet is on the rise of the human spirit that drives each of us, each day, not on the mad men of the DEAD (fossil) fuel industry that is bent on destroying the Earth as we write. Produce LIVE life-giving energy with solar & net zero plus buildings & other renewables and get over the semantics......

tick tock tick tock, the time is running out on the climate clock ...
then you will think back and say, 'I just sat on the side of the dock"